Prices, jobs, the policy rate, and what the Federal Reserve expects next: the conditions every position is held in, whatever you happen to own.
The assistant answers from the releases themselves: the print, the date it landed, and what it was against, rather than from a summary of them.
Pressing one answers it here, from the latest releases and the policy rate. One a day without an account; a free account has its own, and no card.
See these against what you actually own.
Ten seconds, no card, and nothing to cancel.
3.50–3.75%
Effective rate
3.63%
as of Sep 8
Sep 2026 3.6%
Federal Reserve projections
Jul 2026 3.3%
The Fed targets PCE inflation, not CPI, so its projections are not a forecast of this series.
Jul 2026 2.5%
Aug 2026 4.1%
Federal Reserve projections
Aug 2026 159.1M
Jul 2026 4.7%
Jul 2026 7.3M
Apr 2026 3.4%
Compensation costs for civilian workers, as a 12-month percentage change. Quarterly, so it moves four times a year rather than twelve.
Sep 2026 4.8%
Sep 2026 0.4%
Negative means the curve is inverted: short money costs more than long money, which has historically preceded recessions but is not a forecast.
median, Jun 17 · change since Mar 18
| Measure | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | Longer run |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP growth | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Unemployment rate | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| PCE inflation | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| Core PCE inflation | 3.3% |
| 2.5% |
| 2.1% |
| - |
| Fed funds rate | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
|---|